Support for One Nation has grown in NSW, with Pauline Hanson’s party on track to win more Upper House seats than the Coalition at next year’s state election.
The DemosAU poll shows the Coalition sinking to 23 per cent in the lower house, a seven‑point slump since October and a massive 12.4‑point slide from the 2023 election.
New Liberal leader Kellie Sloane is also struggling to connect, polling worse than Mark Speakman, the man she replaced in November.
One Nation has climbed to 21 per cent, putting the party ahead of the Coalition for Upper House seats as conservative voters desert the major parties.
Labor has slipped three points to 34 per cent, but remains comfortably ahead.
Premier Chris Minns boosted his preferred premier rating by four points after his response to the Bondi Beach terror attack
He now leads Sloane 48 to 24 per cent.
Almost 60 per cent of voters remain neutral toward Sloane, while her net favourability sits at three per cent.
Sloane is polling one point worse than Speakman as preferred premier.
One Nation’s Upper House vote has surged 16.1 points, putting the party on track to win five seats, ahead of the Coalition on four.
However, there were some signs of weakness for the Minns government and Labor on a series of key issues.
The poll shows 70 per cent of voters believe the Minns government is performing poorly on cost‑of‑living pressures, making it the government’s weakest result.
It also finds housing remains a major vulnerability, with the government recording a minus 52 per cent satisfaction score on the issue.
Voters are also deeply unhappy with the government’s record on energy, electricity and crime.
Support for the Premier’s approach to protest laws sits at 25 per cent, while 42 per cent say his performance in this area is unsatisfactory.
The electorate remains evenly divided on gun laws, with no clear majority forming on either side.
Nearly half of voters, 48 per cent, believe NSW is heading in the wrong direction, reflecting growing unease in the electorate.
It comes just a day after another poll found that One Nation federally remained ahead of the Coalition.
A survey by YouGov for Sky News Australia showed One Nation has reached a 24 per cent primary vote, placing the party ahead of the Coalition at 22 per cent and behind Labor at 29 per cent.
On such a result, One Nation could win 20 parliamentary seats at the next federal election.
The party would also likely win an extra five seats in the Senate.